Typhoon Melor Update Information --Curent As Of 1:03pm October 7, 2009

Typhoon "Melor" Fast Track To Japan...

TYPHOON MELOR [QUEDAN/20W/0918]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
11:00 AM PST (03:00 GMT) Wed 07 October 2009
Source: JTWC WARNING #032
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
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Typhoon MELOR (QUEDAN) maintains its decaying phase as it now heads NNE-ward, closer to Japan, particularly the main island of Honshu.

*Residents and visitors along the Japan should closely monitor the progress of MELOR (QUEDAN).

*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.

+ Forecast Outlook: MELOR is expected to continue accelerate NNE to NE-ward and shall make landfall just south of Kyoto early tomorrow morning and move across Central Honshu and be downgraded into a Tropical Storm. It shall pass more or less 100 km. north of Tokyo around 3-5PM JST. The 2-day Short-Range Forecast shows MELOR exiting Honshu and moving fast across the slightly cooler ocean waters south of Kuril Islands - becoming an Extratropical Cyclone on Friday, Oct 9.

+ Effects: MELOR's circulation remains strong but more elongated to the NE through Japan as it starts merging w/ a front system. This powerful system is now bringing strong winds and heavy rains across most of Japan from Kyushu, Shikoku and Honshu. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm (moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along MELOR's rainbands...with isolated accumulations of more than 400 mm (extreme rain) near the center of this strong Typhoon. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]

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Time/Date: 11:00 AM PST Wed October 07 2009
Location of Eye: 29.1º N Lat 131.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 300 km (160 nm) SSE of Kagoshima, Japan
Distance 2: 520 km (280 nm) SSW of Kochi, Japan
Distance 3: 830 km (447 nm) SW of Nagoya, Japan
Distance 4: 1,040 km (562 nm) SW of Tokyo, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 160 kph (85 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 195 kph (105 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 6-8 feet [1.8-2.6 m]
Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NNE @ 31 kph (17 kts)
General Direction: Shikoku-Honshu Area
Size (in Diameter): 980 km (530 nm) / Very Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 35 ft (10.6 m)

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